Category: AI & ML
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The commercial landscape of AI protein design — funding is at the $10^9 scale, but the number of approved de novo AI-designed protein drugs is zero
Evidence-first notes on bioscience and deep tech, at the edge of the lab and the market. Information only — not investment advice, not medical advice. All funding, valuation and milestone totals are attributed to each company’s press releases or media reports; many details cannot be independently verified and are marked as such. Vendor blog/preprint performance…
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Bio Foundation Models: Where the Capital Is, Where the Evidence Isn’t, and Why the Two Point in Opposite Directions
Evidence-first notes on bioscience and deep tech, at the edge of the lab and the market. Information only — not investment advice. The 30-second version What. Capital and reproducibility in biology’s foundation models flow in opposite directions: the largest raise sits behind the most closed engine (Isomorphic Labs, a $2.1B Series B in May 2026,…
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Benchmark reality for bio foundation models: how data leakage, missing baselines and metric choice inflate “beats baseline” claims
Evidence-first notes on bioscience and deep tech, at the edge of the lab and the market. Information only — not investment advice. The 30-second version What. A leaderboard number for a bio foundation model (bio-FM) is the product of model ability and how forgiving the evaluation is. Data leakage is close to the default, not…
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Have cell / virtual-cell foundation models beaten the linear baseline? An honest read (Part 3)
Evidence-first notes on bioscience and deep tech, at the edge of the lab and the market. Information only — not investment advice. The 30-second version What. This is the most skeptical axis of the bio-foundation-model series. As of 2026-07, cell / virtual-cell foundation models (scGPT, Geneformer, scFoundation, Arc STATE and others) do not yet consistently…
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Genome foundation models and the “noncoding SOTA” claim: what Evo2 really beats, and where it does not
Evidence-first notes on bioscience and deep tech, at the edge of the lab and the market. Information only — not investment advice. The 30-second version What. Evo2 (Arc Institute · NVIDIA · Stanford · UC Berkeley · UCSF; 7B / 40B parameters, ~9.3 trillion nucleotides of training data) claims a new state of the art…
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Protein foundation models (AlphaFold3, ESM3): does beating the specialist baseline mean generalization — or memorization?
Evidence-first notes on bioscience and deep tech, at the edge of the lab and the market. Information only — not investment advice. The 30-second version What. On FoldBench, a leakage-controlled independent benchmark, AlphaFold3 (AF3) leads on most tasks — but its score splits sharply by axis. It is robust on protein monomers (LDDT 0.88) and…
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The landscape of biology foundation models: do they actually beat the old specialized baselines?
Evidence-first notes on bioscience and deep tech, at the edge of the lab and the market. Information only — not investment advice. The 30-second version What. Protein, genome and cell “foundation models” (bio-FMs) are usually sold with headlines like “simulating millions of years of evolution.” The firm’s one question is narrower: on a specific task,…
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AI protein design’s validation reality — high in-silico scores, low wet-lab hit rates, and why an honest success-rate benchmark is still missing
Evidence-first notes on bioscience and deep tech, at the edge of the lab and the market. Information only — not investment advice, not medical advice. This is the bottleneck layer of the AI-protein-design series, where its central question resolves. Self-reported in-silico success rates and improvement factors (from original authors and vendors) are separated throughout from…
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Function — where AI protein design actually ships binding, catalysis and neutralization, and where it still fails. A ladder: binders on top, enzymes in the middle, antibodies at the bottom
Evidence-first notes on bioscience and deep tech, at the edge of the lab and the market. Information only — not investment advice, not medical advice. All success-rate, affinity and kcat/KM figures are attributed to the primary paper (Nature/Science) or company IR, with the media tier noted inline. Reported success rates are relative to the candidates…
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The generative engine for protein design — backbone diffusion + inverse folding + a self-consistency filter that only checks folding, not function
Evidence-first notes on bioscience and deep tech, at the edge of the lab and the market. Information only — not investment advice, not medical advice. Every in-silico metric (scRMSD, pLDDT, sequence recovery, designability) is separated from wet-lab validation (X-ray/cryo-EM, binding, activity), and any vendor/lab claim is attributed. Benchmark or preprint SOTA is not read as…